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Spring 2007 Newsletter

Hello again from TSS:

Just about the time I put my heavy coat away, out it comes again.  What interesting spring weather!  Soil temperatures continue to be very cool this time of year.   I shouldn’t be surprised as we did experience record cold temps on October 29th and 30th 2006.  We had many reports of 18” of frost in the ground on fields in the SR 26 area this winter.  Late seeded winter wheat and canola have not recovered well and some fields that typically would have survived are being taken out. Extended cold and the partial thaw and rain event in March complicated the issue causing erosion and increased plant mortality.  On a more positive note this cool spring is helping the maturity of the wheat and canola crops.  Regarding the winter wheat crop, be very vigilant in your observations for cereal leaf beetle.  They seem to be showing up in numerous areas very early this year.  From our experience last year I can say that they can multiply very quickly, and do significant damage to flag leaves in a period of a few days.  Unfortunately, bio-controls do not work quickly enough to prohibit the use of more conventional controls.  Wheat can withstand significant numbers of beetles but when they begin to compromise the flag it is time to act.  Remember the flag leaf is responsible for about 80% of the metabolic activity required in the filling of the seed head. 

Stripe rust has been documented on a large scale this year by Dr. Xiaming Chen at WSU.  His predictive model has been pretty much on target this year.  Last week he reported infestation percentages of between 5% and 30% on wheat yields in the Patterson to Prosser area.  Remember that you are watching for two things in your diagnostic efforts- the incidence of infestation and the severity of infestation.  Incidence means how many plants out of 100 displays any sign of rust and severity will show the percentage infection exhibited in each identified plant.  This will help your field man determine the economic threshold for control measures.

In this regard, do your homework before you buy your seed.  Ask all of the relevant questions about disease susceptibility, growth habit, emergence, relative maturity, tillering ability, and planting rates.  If your seed guy can’t tell you what you want to know, or refer you to someone who can, then get a new seed consultant- one who CAN answer all of your questions!  Planting varieties that have relatively high susceptibility to stripe rust is foolish.  The newer plant genetics from WSU, OSU and U of I have good sources of both seeding and adult plant resistance to stripe rust.  Take advantage of their knowledge!  You paid for it!

Irrigated producers should be spraying your Declo HRW for powdery mildew as the stem begins to elongate.  Declo has exceptional yield capacity but it is susceptible to powdery mildew.   Remember the pre-harvest interval on fungicide use in wheat is usually 60 days. 

Tri-City Grain Market Report

Damon Filan, General Manager Tri-City Grain

Wheat Markets- All wheats hit new highs on 4/25/07.   HRW at $5.38, DNS at 5.97, and SWW at $5.20 delivered Pasco prices.   Weather markets are in full swing.  The Easter Weekend freeze reduced Midwest HRW & SRW wheat crops by 150-350 mil bu (15%-25%) of the U.S. Winter wheat crop.  Now dry conditions in The Black Sea areas, China, Europe, and Australia are on the radar screen.   World wheat plantings for 2007 are up approximately 6-10%, but yield potential is shrinking.  The next 30 days are critical.  These prices are profitable and suggest to keep selling into them.  2008 prices are lagging behind by 30c-40c/bu  but it is time to start watching them.

Yellow Corn-   $160 per Short Ton (ST) has been the high range for the 2007 harvest.  USDA March 30 prospective plantings report projected a 12 mil acre increase in YC acreage that quickly dropped the market $20/ST.  Since then planting delays due to weather have strengthened markets into the highs $140’s.    Ethanol production will require 3-4 billion bu of YC over the next 12 months.  The US needs to grow 12 to 13 billion bu to meet traditional demand plus this ethanol demand.  This demand for YC will be the driver for all markets and potentially set the floors on all grains at $1/bu higher than they have been for the past 10 to 20 years!  Weather for YC is critical through July.    2008 YC prices have also been good enough to sell.  For more information, log onto our Web page:   tcgrain.com, or give Jay and myself a call.  1-800-862-8529

Standfast Trifecta Alfalfa

This variety from Cal-West Seeds continues to amaze us.  The number of unsolicited comments we have received and the number of reorders is pleasing.  Trifecta is one of the newest varieties of Cal-West alfalfa with Standfast Technology.  This new technology seems to be a great fit for the Columbia Basin professional hay growers.  The combination of a wider harvest window due to delayed axillary bud initiation and 30% faster regrowth gives Trifecta a big advantage over the more conventional alfalfas.  A very narrow crown architecture helps it stand straight up and resist lodging to a much greater degree.  It has a dark green color and very high yield. It is becoming a favorite of many commercial growers.  Dr. David Johnson at Cal-west Seeds continues to give us alfalfa products that really perform.

Dairyland “Perform” Alfalfa is also showing great results in the area of relative forage quality.  Highly digestible herbage has given us very high RFV and RFQ values.  Perform has fast recovery and excellent persistence for those of you that need a longer rotation.

Dekalb 42-15 has actually placed very high in the WSU trials in Pasco and Othello for the past several years.  It has the best combination of winter hardiness and high yield with tremendous re-growth in the spring and fall.   It is a fall dormancy 4 and winter hardiness 1.5.

Precision Seed Cleaner

TSS is pleased to announce that we have signed a contract to acquire a precision cleaner for the fall season of 2007.  The cleaner will be capable of cleaning all cereals, and will be certified for organic crops.  The unit is self-contained on a 53’ step deck trailer and has its own power supply.  Those of you that desire to custom clean your own seed to save a little money, let us know, we can do it quickly and efficiently.  The unit has state of the art European equipment and has a capacity of 600 bushels per hour depending on the seed lot.  The machine has a seven deck air screen machine, two 16 foot Heid Indents and a large gravity table for density separation. 

We are also very close to being completely operational with our on-demand treater.  This patented design machine will apply any number of treatments to your seed at a rate of 2000 bushels per hour.  No longer do you have to settle for what treatment happens to be on the seed- we can customize your seed treatment to meet your most demanding needs.  Variable rate technology allows us to add or subtract components and modify the rate of each component as per your request.  Not only is this advantageous to you but it allows us to minimize the amount of treated seed we carry over between seasonsst

  Remember it’s never too early to call and book your fall seed needs.  Pre-ordering gives us a feel for volumes and will help us to meet your needs.  Alfalfa, grass, and fall grains will be foremost on our minds in the coming months.  Thank you for your support and making our first year successful.  

Warmest regards,

Dana L. Herron  and Craig O. Teel

Tri-State Seed Company

1000 N. Columbia Ave.

PO Box 1229

Connell, WA 99326

 

 

 

 

 


  January 30, 2007 Late Winter Newsletter Welcome to the New Year! Spring is right around the corner and we wanted to keep you up to date on events and issues at Tri-State Seed Company. Market News The very rapid expansion of the ethanol industry continues to drive commodity prices higher. In 2006, the US produced 4.8 billion gallons of ethanol and imported the equivalent of 80 billion gallons. 4.8 billion gallons of ethanol has created an additional demand for yellow corn (YC) of two billion bushels. When ethanol production reaches 7.5 billion gallons in 2007, the corn demand necessary to fuel the increase will equate to an additional three billion bushels. That may happen more quickly than we first believed. YC production reports were down 200 million bushel and exports of corn are increasing. This means there will be more yellow corn planted. Pay attention to Oct-Nov ‘07 YC markets as they are setting new 20 year highs. The big money funds are still active so fasten your seatbelt and get ready for $.20-.30 swings each month. At the moment, wheat is having a bullish run due to tight supply. Recent snow and rain in the Midwest will limit 2007 HRW gains, but Iraq recently purchased 25.7 million bushels of HRW and 11 million bushels of Canadian Red for February. We think the red wheat complex has another $.30 in it before it quits. So what should you do, you ask? What you better do is think hard about your flex acres. Tri-State Seed Company is a DeKalb corn dealer and we have the hybrids that make you more money. We have both conventional and RoundUp Ready (RR) hybrids at competitive prices. DeKalb consistently outyields both cropland Genetics and Pioneer Corn Seed in the Central Basin. Monsanto (DeKalb) is the first company to introduce triple stacked genetic traits, and as much as the competition says it doesn’t help—it does. Stacking traits has the added benefit of boosting yield. Better overall plant health with both insect and disease protection really helps. Remember last year was the first year that corn rootworm was a noticeable problem in the Yakima Valley. In the Moses Lake and Warden areas, rootworm has been commonly identified as the culprit for decreased yields for the past 2-3 years. Call us for your corn seed needs, 1-866-627-4500. Be careful to consider your future planting options when you decide to plant corn. Planting wheat after corn is not a good idea. Fusarium head scab is harbored in the residue of the previous crop and can reduce wheat yields by up to 70%. Your only defense is to remove the residue or bury it so the innoculum source is gone. Loan Rates USDA recently announced the 2007 crop loan rates for wheat. Soft white wheat went down $0.11, HRW is up $0.06 and DNS went down $0.08. Remember that loan rates are determined on a moving yearly average and SWW prices have been down recently so we should have expected this! New DNS There is a new DNS variety available for irrigated farmers. Soon to be released as the variety Cabernet, it has been tested as RSI 95 10616A2 for the past four years in the Columbia Basin. In Mattawa, it yielded 130.1 bu/ac and in the Moses Lake trial it also performed well at 111.1 with 15.4% protein. Remember this was in a year where DNS yields were below 100 bu/ac in many areas of the state. This variety is interesting because of its atypical growth habit. Cabernet is a short variety specifically designed for overhead irrigation and high rainfall dryland applications. This variety has a very high tilling capacity and unlike some other spring wheats we are used to looking at, the heads are smaller, but there are a lot of them— and it has consistently out-produced Hank, Express, and Solano. It has a sister line numbered as 50603 which is even better on yield, TW, and protein. 50603 is a couple of years behind Cabernet. Cabernet is earlier than most spring wheats and that is an advantage because harvest dates are earlier and you know what that means! Proteins on Cabernet are higher than Express and Solano and so far it has not required a fungicide for stripe rust. Seeding rates should be increased a bit as these kernels are huge- so watch your calibration closely. Wait to plant until the soil temp is 42˚F at planting depth and keep your N to S ratio at 5:1. TSS is licensed to distribute Cabernet in the Columbia Basin. Dryland DNS Dryland producers should look hard at Hollis and Jefferson. Hollis is a WSU spring wheat, created by breeder Kim Kidwell, and has performed very well. It is a tall variety with a heavy test weight, great protein, and very good High Temperature Adult Plant (HTAP) resistance to stripe rust. Hollis is an excellent choice for summer fallow areas with low rainfall. Jefferson is a University of Idaho variety that was released in 2006. It has exceptional yield potential and hessian fly resistance. Jefferson thrives in 14” and above precipitation. If you would like more information, call us for plot results or a recommendation on best-fit for your land! Hard White Wheat Immediately following the Tri-State Wheat Grower Convention in Portland, Oregon the industry invited a group to discuss the future of Hard White Wheat exports from the PNW. The progress report at the Washington Wheat Commission (WWC) meeting last week outlined the initiative. The WWC recently sent a team to visit Korea and Taiwan. Both countries expressed considerable interest in purchasing HWW. We are expecting them to place an order soon for somewhere between 1 million and 3.5 million bushels of HWW. This contract is expected to contain two requests, one for 12% protein and one for 10.5+% protein. This will be an interesting event in that market risk is being shared by all in the marketing chain. The price paid for the Hard White is proposed to be the same price paid for HRW. I understand that this tender will be for the 2008 crop. Here is why this is so vital—Soft White exports are falling consistently. HRW exports are increasing. Australia is taking much of our market share with their Australia Prime Hard and Standard Hard wheats. In order to maintain our market share, we must become competitive in Hard White Wheat or just stand by and watch this market disappear. We have several excellent Hard White Wheats available for both irrigated and dryland producers. If you are interested in more information, call us! I believe you can meet the export requirements with less risk of market discounts and less fertilizer than DNS. The yields of several of the new Hard Whites are quite impressive; give us a call for plot result data. Watch for commercial contracts to be offered this fall. Dryland producers, pay attention! This is an important development for the Soft White producer that wants to earn more money with minimal risk. And that is always a good thing. We always appreciate seeing your face, so if you’re in the area, stop on in for a tour of our new facilities! Warmest Regards, Dana L. Herron & Craig O. Teel

 



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